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Abstract The genetic effective size (Ne) is arguably one of the most important characteristics of a population as it impacts the rate of loss of genetic diversity. Methods that estimate Ne are important in population and conservation genetic studies as they quantify the risk of a population being inbred or lacking genetic diversity. Yet there are very few methods that can estimate the Ne from data from a single population and without extensive information about the genetics of the population, such as a linkage map, or a reference genome of the species of interest. We present ONeSAMP 3.0, an algorithm for estimating Ne from single nucleotide polymorphism data collected from a single population sample using approximate Bayesian computation and local linear regression. We demonstrate the utility of this approach using simulated Wright–Fisher populations, and empirical data from five endangered Channel Island fox (Urocyon littoralis) populations to evaluate the performance of ONeSAMP 3.0 compared to a commonly used Ne estimator. Our results show that ONeSAMP 3.0 is broadly applicable to natural populations and is flexible enough that future versions could easily include summary statistics appropriate for a suite of biological and sampling conditions. ONeSAMP 3.0 is publicly available under the GNU General Public License at https://github.com/AaronHong1024/ONeSAMP_3. 

The unprecedented rate of extinction calls for efficient use of genetics to help conserve biodiversity. Several recent genomic and simulation-based studies have argued that the field of conservation biology has placed too much focus on conserving genome-wide genetic variation, and that the field should instead focus on managing the subset of functional genetic variation that is thought to affect fitness. Here, we critically evaluate the feasibility and likely benefits of this approach in conservation. We find that population genetics theory and empirical results show that conserving genome-wide genetic variation is generally the best approach to prevent inbreeding depression and loss of adaptive potential from driving populations toward extinction. Focusing conservation efforts on presumably functional genetic variation will only be feasible occasionally, often misleading, and counterproductive when prioritized over genome-wide genetic variation. Given the increasing rate of habitat loss and other environmental changes, failure to recognize the detrimental effects of lost genome-wide genetic variation on long-term population viability will only worsen the biodiversity crisis.